While not mathematically eliminated, the Carolina RailHawks' chances of finding the USL-1 playoff are now out of their hands. According to SportsClubStats.com, Carolina's playoff chances have fallen below 5%.



But the more telling stat is this table:



What this table tells us is that even if Carolina were to take maximum points going 4-0-0 in their remaining fixtures, there is only an 88% chance that they would still make the playoffs. This means that their future is no longer is their own hands because regardless of how they finish the season, there are match scenarios that could play out between other teams that would mathematically eliminate the RailHawks no matter their own results.

Thanks again to Ken Roberts for maintaining these insightful stats at his Sports Club Stats website.